Illicit Small Arms Prices: Introducing Two New Datasets

Abstract:

Despite calls to reduce illicit arms flows, it remains difficult to detect and quantify them. One
proposed method for detecting and quantifying illicit trade volumes is to test econometrically for
price changes. This paper documents an effort of the Norwegian Initiative on Small Arms
Transfers (NISAT) and the Small Arms Data Observatory (SADO) to make such inferential
econometric analyses possible by assembling two new datasets on illicit small arms prices. The
first, called the illicit small arms trafficking transactions dataset (iSAT-T), has an observational
unit of arm(s) sold in a single transaction. The second, called the illicit small arms trafficking
country dataset (or iSAT-C), derives from the iSAT-T and has the more standard country-year
observational unit. This paper describes the methods for data collection, organization, and
generation for these datasets, presents some descriptive statistics and graphics, and concludes
with a discussion of possible future uses and limitations of the datasets.

Authors:

NICHOLAS MARSH
Peace Research Institute Oslo

TOPHER L. MCDOUGAL
Kroc School of Peace Studies, University of San Diego

Additional files:
SADO-WPS_201701_02_iSAP-T-Codebook (transactions dataset codebook)
SADO-WPS_201701_02_iSAP-T (CVS) (transactions dataset, CVS format [14 mb])
SADO-WPS_201701_02_iSAP-T (STATA/.dta) (transactions dataset, DTA format [1 mb])

SADO-WPS_201701_03_iSAP-C-Codebook (country-year dataset codebook)
SADO-WPS_201701_02_iSAP-C (CVS) (country-year dataset, CVS format [3 mb])
SADO-WPS_201701_02_iSAP-C (STATA/.dta) (country-year dataset, DTAformat [1 mb])

SADO-WPS_201701-01_iSAP-datasets (working paper, PDF [1 mb])